Guyana’s economic growth beyond oil

Guyana’s economic growth, projected at 42.3 per cent for 2024, has caught the attention of the world, establishing it as one of the fastest-growing economies globally. While much of this success has been attributed to the country’s burgeoning oil and gas sector, what stands out even more is the consistent and meaningful contribution of the non-oil sectors. This marks Guyana as not only an emerging oil powerhouse but also a diversified economy capable of sustainable development.
Private Sector Commission (PSC) Chairman Komal Singh, in a recent interview with <<<Guyana Times>>>, emphasised that the nation’s growth is not merely fuelled by oil revenues but by a broad spectrum of industries ranging from agriculture to forestry. This diversification has given the nation a stability that most other resource-rich countries can only aspire to. Singh highlighted the nation’s economic performance in the first half of 2024, which saw growth surging to 49.7 per cent. More importantly, the non-oil economy grew by an estimated 12.6 per cent, showing that the groundwork laid by previous administrations and the current government’s economic policies are paying off in spades.
At the heart of Guyana’s success is an improved investment climate. Foreign investors are flocking to the country, not only because of its oil potential but due to the favourable business environment that supports innovation, expansion, and infrastructural development. As Singh noted, “We have seen investors from all over the world come into Guyana and want to invest. And as long as we can maintain that investor confidence level, our investments and trajectory to growth, to development will continue.”
Singh’s optimism is backed by data from the 2024 Mid-Year Report. Sectors such as agriculture, forestry, and fishing have recorded significant growth. Agriculture, particularly the rice and fishing industries, has seen an impressive expansion. Rice production surged by 17.9 per cent, with 362,030 tonnes of rice produced in the first half of the year, compared to 302,295 tonnes during the same period in 2023. This kind of performance is crucial for Guyana’s non-oil economy, providing jobs and contributing to food security both locally and regionally.
In addition, the fishing subsector grew by 27.7 per cent, while forestry expanded by 13.2 per cent. These sectors, often overshadowed by the attention given to oil, are pillars of Guyana’s economic resilience. The diversification of these sectors reduces reliance on volatile oil prices and ensures that a broader swathe of the population benefits from the country’s prosperity.
Even as oil production continues to grow, it is clear that Guyana is not allowing itself to fall into the classic trap of resource dependency. In fact, Natural Resources Minister Vickram Bharrat branded the non-oil economy as the second fastest-growing in the world earlier this year. Such a claim highlights Guyana’s potential as a model for balanced growth, something that can set it apart from other countries that have relied too heavily on oil and gas to fuel their economies.
The forecasted 42.3 per cent Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for 2024 is, of course, bolstered by the continued development of Guyana’s oil fields. However, it is the parallel growth in non-oil sectors that offers a more sustainable outlook for the country’s long-term development. In the first half of 2024, agriculture grew by 8.7 per cent, driven by a rise in the production of crops, vegetables, and fruits. Notably, corn production jumped by nearly 400 per cent, showcasing the potential for Guyana to become a significant player in the agricultural export market.
The success of these sectors cannot be viewed in isolation. They are a direct result of the Government’s focus on creating a conducive environment for investment, as well as fostering technological innovations in traditionally low-tech sectors like agriculture and forestry. The combination of state Support and Private Sector dynamism, underpinned by a favourable regulatory environment, has unlocked opportunities for Guyana’s businesses and workers.
For Guyana, the challenge moving forward will be maintaining this growth trajectory while ensuring that wealth generated from oil and other sectors is distributed equitably. Infrastructure improvements, especially in education, health care, and transportation, will be critical in ensuring that the benefits of growth are shared widely across the population. Furthermore, attention must be paid to environmental sustainability, especially in agriculture and forestry, to protect Guyana’s rich natural resources for future generations.
Guyana’s economic performance in 2024 is not just as a result of oil but is reflective of a more holistic growth model. As long as investor confidence remains high and the Government continues to support diversified economic growth, Guyana is poised to become an economic powerhouse in the Region.